NASDAQ$SMLR

Semler Scientific Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Semler Scientific reported record results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2020.

Semler Scientific reported strong financial results for Q4 2020, driven by the adoption of its QuantaFlo® product. The company saw increases in fixed fee software license revenues, variable fee software license revenues, and equipment/other sales.

  • Semler Scientific believes the clinical benefits of earlier recognition of vascular disease are driving the adoption of their QuantaFlo® product.
  • The company's program may enable healthcare providers to intercede with preventive measures.
  • Semler Scientific's two largest customers comprised 47.2% and 22.8% of annual revenues.
  • Semler Scientific expects continued profitability and generation of cash from operating activities in 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12.1M

Previous: $9.15M+31.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: $0.35+88.6%
Capital Expenditures

$46K

Previous: $68K-32.4%
Free Cash Flow

$5.77M

Previous: $3.57M+61.8%
Net Income

$5.39M

Previous: $2.83M+90.4%
Operating Income

$6M

Previous: $3.05M+96.7%
Gross Profit

$11.1M

Previous: $8.25M+34.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$22.1M

Previous: $7.74M+185.2%
Total Assets

$34.6M

Previous: $18.3M+89.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$63K

Previous: $83K-24.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Semler Scientific · Revenue · Quarterly

$12.1M

Q4 2020+31.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Semler Scientific expects continued profitability and generation of cash from operating activities in 2021, as well as increased spending to support anticipated growth in its business. The company intends to grow annual revenues at a faster rate than annual expenses and to remain profitable. However, there remains some uncertainty as to state and local governments continuing to revise restrictions related to COVID-19. Semler Scientific intends to manage its expenses and other costs in line with changes in revenues and cash position during these uncertain times.

Tailwinds

  • Continued profitability expected
  • Cash generation from operations expected
  • Increased spending to support anticipated growth
  • Intent to grow annual revenues at a faster rate than annual expenses
  • Intent to remain profitable

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty due to state and local governments revising restrictions related to COVID-19
  • Need to manage expenses and other costs in line with changes in revenues and cash position during uncertain times

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 6 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.8%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

25 / 46 earnings

Positive

+33.6%

Q4 2014

Best reaction

-33.3%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2025-10.7%-16.0%-25.1%
Q2 2025-1.8%+2.0%-20.7%
Q1 2025-11.4%+17.9%-19.3%
Q4 2024+3.0%-12.4%-22.7%
Q3 2024+27.1%+29.9%+106.6%
Q2 2024-5.4%-1.7%-16.7%
Q4 2023-32.7%-36.8%-42.5%
Q3 2023+7.6%
Q2 2023+7.9%
Q1 2023+13.8%
Q4 2022+26.9%
Q3 2022-33.3%
Q2 2022+19.4%
Q1 2022-20.6%
Q4 2021-27.3%
Q3 2021-25.6%
Q2 2021-2.7%
Q1 2021+1.5%
Q4 2020+13.6%
Q3 2020+10.0%
Q2 2020-3.6%
Q1 2020-2.6%
Q4 2019+1.8%
Q3 2019+1.7%
Q2 2019+1.5%
Q1 2019-2.7%
Q4 2018+4.8%
Q3 2018-12.5%
Q2 2018+20.6%
Q1 2018+6.4%
Q4 2017+2.5%
Q3 2017+16.0%
Q2 2017-5.9%
Q1 2017+1.5%
Q4 2016+7.9%
Q3 2016-16.0%
Q2 2016+8.1%
Q1 2016-9.2%
Q4 2015-7.9%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015-12.2%
Q1 2013+0.9%
Q4 2014+33.6%
Q3 2014-3.7%
Q2 2014-2.0%
Q1 2014+1.2%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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