NASDAQ$SBAC

SBA Communications Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q4 2020 results with material growth in AFFO per share and provided full year 2021 outlook.

SBA Communications Corporation reported a strong finish to 2020, with the fourth quarter being the strongest in terms of customer activity. The company produced material growth in AFFO per share and increased its quarterly cash dividend by approximately 25%.

  • Net income was $105.8 million, or $0.94 per share, and site leasing revenue was $493.0 million.
  • AFFO per share grew by 18.8% over the year earlier period on a constant currency basis.
  • The company repurchased 2.2 million shares cumulatively in the fourth quarter and subsequent to quarter end.
  • A new master lease agreement with Dish was signed subsequent to quarter end.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$536M

Previous: $514M+4.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.94

Previous: $0.59+59.3%
AFFO

$280M

Previous: $249M+12.6%
AFFO per Share

$2.49

Previous: $2.18+14.2%
Quarterly Dividend per Share

$0.58

Previous: $0.47+24.7%
Tower Cash Flow Margin

81.6%

Previous: 81.0%+0.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

71.0%

Previous: 71.0%+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

$33.2M

Previous: $42.9M-22.5%
Free Cash Flow

$210M

Previous: $222M-5.5%
Net Income

$106M

Previous: $67.4M+57.0%
Operating Income

$165M

Previous: $154M+7.3%
Gross Profit

$408M

Previous: $392M+4.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$309M

Previous: $108M+184.9%
Total Assets

$9.16B

Previous: $9.76B-6.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$17M

Previous: $12.6M+34.9%

Revenue & EPS history

SBA · Revenue · Quarterly

$536M

Q4 2020+4.3%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

SBA · $43M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Site Development
    $43M+31.9%

Forward guidance

The company provided its initial full year 2021 Outlook for anticipated results, which assumes acquisitions of only those communication sites under contract and anticipated to close. The Outlook also does not contemplate any additional repurchases of the Company’s stock during 2021.

Tailwinds

  • Site leasing revenue is expected to be between $2,032.0 million and $2,052.0 million.
  • Site development revenue is projected to be between $140.0 million and $160.0 million.
  • Total revenues are anticipated to be between $2,172.0 million and $2,212.0 million.
  • Tower Cash Flow is forecasted to be between $1,664.0 million and $1,684.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $1,562.0 million and $1,582.0 million.

Headwinds

  • Net cash interest expense is projected to be between $358.0 million and $368.0 million.
  • Non-discretionary cash capital expenditures are expected to be between $37.0 million and $47.0 million.
  • AFFO is forecasted to be between $1,117.0 million and $1,163.0 million.
  • AFFO per share is expected to be between $10.00 and $10.41.
  • Discretionary cash capital expenditures are projected to be between $1,200.0 million and $1,220.0 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

32 / 64 earnings

Positive

+9.4%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-9.6%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.7%+0.1%-6.6%
Q4 2025+4.7%+2.2%-13.1%
Q3 2025+1.3%+2.0%-1.8%
Q1 2025+6.8%+8.4%+3.1%
Q4 2024+3.0%+2.4%+1.7%
Q3 2024-4.2%-6.7%-5.5%
Q2 2024+1.5%+7.0%+6.0%
Q1 2024-5.2%-1.6%-5.0%
Q4 2023-6.1%-2.2%+2.4%
Q3 2023+9.4%+5.8%+20.7%
Q2 2023-2.4%-3.5%-2.8%
Q1 2023-5.3%-8.2%-15.0%
Q4 2022-7.9%-8.3%-12.2%
Q3 2022+2.1%+0.9%+10.8%
Q2 2022+0.7%+2.9%-3.1%
Q1 2022-4.1%-5.3%-5.5%
Q4 2021+3.2%+7.8%+11.8%
Q3 2021+3.8%-0.3%-1.7%
Q2 2021+1.5%+1.8%+7.4%
Q1 2021-0.6%+1.1%+0.7%
Q4 2020-5.0%-2.5%+4.1%
Q3 2020+0.2%+5.6%-2.0%
Q2 2020-0.4%-0.1%+0.8%
Q1 2020-0.1%+1.2%+4.2%
Q4 2019+2.0%+0.4%-20.9%
Q3 2019-2.2%-1.6%-2.7%
Q2 2019+4.9%+5.0%+11.1%
Q1 2019+1.3%+2.9%+1.3%
Q4 2018-0.2%-1.1%+7.7%
Q3 2018+0.8%+4.0%+3.0%
Q2 2018-1.1%-1.0%-1.6%
Q1 2018-0.9%+0.1%+0.0%
Q4 2017-5.6%-11.6%-1.4%
Q3 2017+7.1%+5.3%+15.7%
Q2 2017-0.2%+1.7%+11.2%
Q1 2017+2.0%+2.5%+9.2%
Q4 2016+4.1%+3.4%+7.8%
Q3 2016-5.2%-6.4%-15.2%
Q2 2016+2.0%+0.5%+1.0%
Q1 2016-3.9%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015-8.6%
Q2 2015+1.0%
Q1 2015-1.2%
Q4 2014+4.1%
Q3 2014-1.7%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014+5.7%
Q4 2013-3.2%
Q3 2013+4.0%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013+1.1%
Q4 2012+1.0%
Q3 2012+0.4%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q3 2011-1.7%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2011+2.1%
Q4 2010-0.8%
Q3 2010-2.1%
Q2 2010+1.6%
Q1 2010+3.0%

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