NASDAQ$SABR

Sabre Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced strategic initiatives to increase addressable market and lower costs by 2024 and reported solid results.

Sabre's Q4 2019 revenue increased by 1.9% to $941.4 million, with net income attributable to common stockholders at $10.1 million, and adjusted EPS at $0.16. The company is investing in technology to transform its marketplace and expand its services.

  • Acquired Radixx and investing in low-cost carrier solutions.
  • Announced plans to build full-service property management system with Accor.
  • Joined forces with Google Cloud to utilize emerging technology trends.
  • Expects $150 million incremental technology spend in 2020 to support strategic initiatives.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$941M

Previous: $924M+1.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.16

Previous: $0.34-52.9%
Total Bookings

128.3K

Previous: 126.8K+1.2%
Air Bookings

112.4K

Previous: 111.1K+1.2%
Lodging, Ground & Sea

16.0K

Previous: 15.7K+1.7%
Capital Expenditures

$23M

Previous: $78.3M-70.6%
Net Income

$10.1M

Previous: $84.4M-88.0%
Operating Income

$57.6M

Previous: $121M-52.4%
Gross Profit

$208M

Previous: $250M-16.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$436M

Previous: $509M-14.4%
Total Assets

$5.69B

Previous: $5.81B-2.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$15.8M

Previous: $15.8M-0.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Sabre · Revenue · Quarterly

$941M

Q4 2019+1.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sabre · $71.4M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • IT Solutions
    $71.4M+7.0%

Forward guidance

Sabre expects to spend an incremental $150 million on technology in 2020 to build an advanced travel marketplace. The 2020 financial outlook includes this incremental technology spend. The global health crisis related to the Coronavirus (COVID-19) is impacting travel bookings and will have a material impact on the company's 2020 financial results.

Tailwinds

  • Partnership with Google to facilitate technology transformation and help unlock future revenue opportunities.
  • Expects core business to perform well and in line with previous expectations.
  • Expects to realize a healthy Adjusted EBITDA margin of 26% or greater in 2024 upon completion of technology transformation.
  • Strategic initiatives are focused on creation and distribution of personalized offers including through NDC.
  • Increasing footprint in low-cost carrier growth and innovation.

Headwinds

  • Incremental technology spend will have a material impact on financial results.
  • Global health crisis related to the Coronavirus and its impact on travel will materially impact 2020 financial results.
  • Coronavirus impact is not included in the 2020 guidance.
  • Preliminary estimate of the first quarter 2020 impact includes a revenue hit of $100M - $150M.
  • Preliminary estimate of the first quarter 2020 impact includes an Adjusted EBITDA hit of $50M - $80M.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

24 / 53 earnings

Positive

+32.1%

Q4 2021

Best reaction

-32.9%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+4.0%-0.5%-9.8%
Q4 2025+24.0%-4.1%+40.7%
Q3 2025-0.5%-6.0%-18.5%
Q1 2025+0.0%+16.7%+12.7%
Q4 2024+22.4%+26.8%+3.2%
Q3 2024-22.4%-19.0%-4.6%
Q2 2024-8.5%-10.2%-11.1%
Q1 2024-11.0%-8.3%+7.9%
Q4 2023-32.9%-37.2%-55.1%
Q3 2023+18.0%-4.4%+8.6%
Q2 2023+30.9%+45.3%+45.5%
Q1 2023-7.1%-7.1%-12.2%
Q4 2022-16.3%-22.8%-43.7%
Q3 2022-21.5%-21.7%+4.5%
Q2 2022+18.1%+19.8%+13.7%
Q1 2022-9.3%-17.8%-25.8%
Q4 2021+32.1%+28.0%+18.7%
Q3 2021-15.2%-8.0%-22.4%
Q2 2021-4.3%+1.1%-1.9%
Q1 2021-17.3%-13.9%-5.8%
Q4 2020+2.3%+24.9%+35.9%
Q3 2020+32.0%+21.9%+64.9%
Q2 2020-3.2%+1.7%-8.2%
Q1 2020+0.1%-12.6%+54.9%
Q4 2019-24.7%-30.3%-68.4%
Q3 2019+3.2%+1.2%+1.8%
Q2 2019+6.4%+5.2%+0.6%
Q1 2019-8.6%-4.2%-10.6%
Q4 2018-0.9%-3.9%-8.3%
Q3 2018+7.8%+6.7%+13.9%
Q2 2018-6.0%-4.5%+0.5%
Q1 2018+12.8%+12.7%+18.8%
Q4 2017+18.6%+21.6%+15.8%
Q3 2017+7.7%+3.3%+9.7%
Q2 2017-8.9%-10.8%-16.7%
Q1 2017+3.2%+4.5%-3.7%
Q4 2016-12.1%-8.2%-12.9%
Q3 2016-11.1%-10.7%-3.1%
Q2 2016-9.0%-8.0%-2.9%
Q1 2016+3.4%
Q4 2015+12.3%
Q3 2015-3.0%
Q2 2015+6.3%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q4 2014-2.4%
Q3 2013-1.4%
Q3 2014-0.5%
Q2 2013-0.7%
Q2 2014-0.7%
Q1 2014+3.4%
Q1 2013+3.4%
Q4 2013+3.4%

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