NASDAQ$RXRX

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported business updates and financial results.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals reported a revenue of $10.9 million and a net loss of $93.0 million for the fourth quarter of 2023. The company's cash and cash equivalents totaled $391.6 million as of December 31, 2023.

  • Multiple clinical programs from Recursion's first generation platform are on track to read out Phase 2 data in H2 2024 and H1 2025.
  • In-licensed a program (Target Epsilon) that emerged from the fibrosis collaboration with Bayer.
  • Began incorporating causal AI models into the Recursion OS trained using data from Tempus.
  • Phase 2 SYCAMORE clinical trial is expected to share data in Q3 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$10.9M

Previous: $13.7M-20.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.42

Previous: -$0.31-35.5%
Capital Expenditures

$2.07M

Previous: $7.98M-74.1%
Net Income

-$93M

Previous: -$57.5M-61.8%
Operating Income

-$98.9M

Previous: -$61M-62.2%
Gross Profit

$1.01M

Previous: $2.84M-64.4%
R&D Expense

$69.5M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$16.1M

Previous: $7.7M+109.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Recursion Pharmaceuticals · Revenue · Quarterly

$10.9M

Q4 2023-20.4%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Recursion Pharmaceuticals · $1 total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Grant Revenue
    $1

Forward guidance

Recursion expects to share Phase 2 data for REC-994 in Q3 2024, Phase 2 safety and preliminary efficacy data for REC-2282 in Q4 2024, and Phase 2 safety and preliminary efficacy data for REC-4881 in H1 2025. They also anticipate initiating a Phase 2 study for REC-3964 in 2024 and submitting an IND for their RBM39 program in H2 2024.

Tailwinds

  • REC-994 Phase 2 data readout expected in Q3 2024.
  • REC-2282 Phase 2 safety and preliminary efficacy data expected in Q4 2024.
  • REC-4881 Phase 2 safety and preliminary efficacy data expected in H1 2025.
  • REC-3964 Phase 2 study to be initiated in 2024.
  • RBM39 IND submission expected in H2 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-3.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.2%

Avg return

30 days after

32%

8 / 25 earnings

Positive

+11.6%

Q1 2023

Best reaction

-16.5%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%-3.3%-1.8%
Q4 2025+6.5%+2.8%-16.7%
Q3 2025-0.6%-9.8%-5.8%
Q1 2025-16.5%-24.0%-13.9%
Q4 2024-12.3%-16.9%-29.6%
Q3 2024+1.6%+15.0%+17.4%
Q2 2024-1.3%+2.7%-7.1%
Q1 2024+0.1%+17.0%-0.9%
Q4 2023-12.3%-13.2%-32.5%
Q3 2023-3.0%+14.7%+35.0%
Q2 2023-0.5%-13.2%-24.2%
Q1 2023+11.6%+2.5%+75.8%
Q4 2022+7.1%+11.4%-11.3%
Q3 2022+8.9%+32.8%-0.6%
Q2 2022+4.4%+27.4%+35.8%
Q1 2022-9.4%+1.4%+34.4%
Q4 2019-0.7%-1.7%-14.2%
Q4 2021-0.7%-1.7%-14.2%
Q3 2020-9.1%-4.3%-3.2%
Q3 2021-9.1%-4.3%-3.2%
Q2 2020-10.8%-17.2%+23.1%
Q2 2021-10.8%-17.2%+23.1%
Q1 2020-7.1%-3.6%+37.8%
Q1 2021-7.1%-3.6%+37.8%
Q4 2020-7.1%-3.6%+37.8%

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