NASDAQ$PNTG

The Pennant Group Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported lower-than-anticipated results due to another surge of COVID-19, but achieved record full-year results in the home health and hospice segment.

Pennant Group's Q4 2021 results were impacted by COVID-19, but the home health and hospice segment showed strength. Strategic transactions were executed to reposition the senior living segment for better results in 2022.

  • Total revenue for the quarter was $111.8 million, an increase of 3.5% over the prior year quarter.
  • GAAP diluted earnings per share was $(0.08) for the quarter, and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.07.
  • Home Health and Hospice Services segment revenue for the quarter was $77.9 million, an increase of 4.5% over the prior year quarter.
  • Senior Living Services segment revenue for the quarter was $33.9 million, an increase of 1.4% over the prior year quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$112M

Previous: $108M+3.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.07

Previous: $0.17-58.8%
Total Home Health Admissions

9.3K

Previous: 8.5K+9.0%
Medicare HH Admissions

4.2K

Previous: 4.3K-1.1%
Hospice Avg Daily Census

2.3K

Previous: 2.3K-2.3%
Capital Expenditures

$2.16M

Previous: -$439K+591.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$7.32M

Previous: -$2.44M-199.4%
Net Income

-$2.1M

Previous: $4.02M-152.2%
Operating Income

-$2.19M

Previous: $4.09M-153.5%
Gross Profit

$8.17M

Previous: $14.9M-45.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.19M

Previous: $43K+11969.8%
Total Assets

$530M

Previous: $507M+4.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.56M

Previous: $2.32M+10.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Pennant Group · Revenue · Quarterly

$112M

Q4 2021+3.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 13 quarters(85%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Pennant Group · $37.3M total across 1 segment · Q2 2023

  • Senior Living Services
    $37.3M

Forward guidance

The Company provided revised fiscal year 2022 guidance, anticipating total revenue to be in the range of $450.0 million to $460.0 million and adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.60 to $0.72 per diluted share.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is anticipated to be in the range of $450.0 million to $460.0 million, representing an increase of 7.5% over full year 2021 revenue results (adjusted for the disposition of five senior living communities).
  • Adjusted earnings per share is anticipated to be in the range of $0.60 to $0.72 per diluted share, representing an increase of 43.5% over full year 2021 adjusted earnings per share results.
  • The 2022 annual guidance is based on diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 31.2 million and a 26.1% effective tax rate.
  • Confidence in leaders across the organization being stronger and more capable of confronting headwinds.
  • Expectation that measures taken to emphasize core opportunities and reinforce the operating model will lead to improvement.

Headwinds

  • Guidance assumes anticipated reimbursement rate adjustments and the lingering effects of COVID-19.
  • Guidance excludes costs at start-up operations, share-based compensation, acquisition-related costs, assets held for sale, and losses of disposed operations.
  • Census, staffing and other operating challenges will likely persist for the foreseeable future.
  • Short-term chop in first half results is expected.
  • The guidance assumes no unannounced acquisitions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+5.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

12 / 30 earnings

Positive

+27.4%

Q2 2020

Best reaction

-18.7%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.4%+8.4%+0.5%
Q4 2025-7.8%-0.2%-9.8%
Q3 2025-5.8%+0.4%+16.1%
Q1 2025+3.7%+10.1%+10.1%
Q4 2024-10.8%-8.1%-3.6%
Q3 2024+0.6%+6.4%-5.9%
Q2 2024+0.3%+8.2%+18.3%
Q1 2024-2.3%+5.8%+11.3%
Q4 2023+12.4%+13.3%+18.3%
Q3 2023+7.6%+5.7%+13.6%
Q2 2023-1.2%+8.9%+1.3%
Q1 2023-9.4%-14.7%-6.8%
Q4 2022+11.3%+20.7%+8.9%
Q3 2022-11.4%-10.8%-20.0%
Q2 2022+6.8%+12.6%+0.6%
Q1 2022+6.6%+26.4%+21.3%
Q4 2021-7.5%-7.9%+12.9%
Q3 2021-18.7%-6.9%-21.1%
Q2 2021-5.8%-15.0%+0.0%
Q1 2021-2.2%-9.4%-14.2%
Q4 2020-8.3%-7.5%-16.9%
Q3 2020-0.5%+5.3%+21.1%
Q2 2020+27.4%+23.8%+15.9%
Q1 2019+15.1%+51.2%+45.5%
Q1 2020+15.1%+51.2%+45.5%
Q2 2019-3.3%-13.7%-43.7%
Q4 2017-3.3%-13.7%-43.7%
Q4 2019-3.3%-13.7%-43.7%
Q3 2019-10.5%+7.0%+68.4%
Q4 2018-10.5%+7.0%+68.4%
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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