NASDAQ$PAAPU

Plains All American Pipeline LP · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) reported a significant decline in net income for Q4 2024 due to non-cash charges and insurance-related write-offs. Despite this, the company delivered strong Adjusted EBITDA and cash flow, exceeding guidance. Revenue declined slightly year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12.4B

Previous: $12.7B-2.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.42+0.0%
NGL Fractionation

138.0K

No prior period
NGL Pipeline Tariff

224.0K

No prior period
Propane & Butane Sales

127.0K

No prior period
Net Income

-$27M

Previous: $248M-110.9%
Operating Income

$246M

Previous: $417M-41.0%
Gross Profit

$339M

Previous: $504M-32.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Plains All American · Revenue · Quarterly

$12.4B

Q4 2024-2.3%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

PAA expects stable financial performance in 2025, driven by strong cash flow generation, disciplined capital investments, and a focus on bolt-on acquisitions.

Tailwinds

  • Projected Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 between $2.80B - $2.95B
  • 20% increase in annualized distribution to $1.52 per unit
  • Successful issuance of $1B in unsecured notes at 5.95% interest
  • Leverage ratio expected to remain at the lower end of the target range
  • Anticipates generating $1.15B in Adjusted Free Cash Flow

Headwinds

  • Expected capital expenditures of ~$400M in growth investments
  • Maintenance capital projected at ~$240M
  • Potential impact of macroeconomic volatility on oil and gas markets
  • Continued competition in midstream sector affecting tariff rates
  • Regulatory and environmental costs could rise, impacting margins

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 15 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+6.2%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-22.4%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-1.0%+2.3%
Q4 2025+0.0%-0.8%+10.9%
Q3 2025-0.5%+1.5%+8.1%
Q2 2025-0.1%-0.4%-3.6%
Q1 2025-2.9%+2.8%+2.8%
Q4 2024-3.0%-3.2%-3.2%
Q3 2024-2.6%-4.9%+2.1%
Q2 2024-5.6%-4.1%-0.4%
Q1 2024+2.2%+2.6%-1.3%
Q4 2023+2.7%+1.9%+8.9%
Q3 2023-0.3%-3.8%-0.1%
Q2 2023+2.4%+2.2%+5.0%
Q1 2023+3.3%+3.4%+9.7%
Q4 2022-0.6%+2.0%+1.5%
Q3 2022+1.6%+2.9%+0.1%
Q2 2022+1.3%+2.2%+8.9%
Q1 2022+2.0%-3.1%+10.4%
Q4 2021-9.4%
Q3 2021-0.5%
Q2 2021-2.2%
Q1 2021-1.0%
Q4 2020-9.5%
Q3 2020+5.1%
Q2 2020-2.7%
Q1 2020-7.0%
Q4 2019+2.5%
Q3 2019-1.8%
Q2 2019-0.7%
Q1 2019+1.6%
Q4 2018+0.8%
Q3 2018+1.5%
Q2 2018+3.4%
Q1 2018-0.6%
Q4 2017+5.5%
Q3 2017+6.1%
Q2 2017-20.7%
Q1 2017-5.1%
Q4 2016-2.7%
Q3 2016-5.5%
Q2 2016+2.4%
Q1 2016+6.2%
Q4 2015-22.4%
Q3 2015-7.1%
Q2 2015-12.5%
Q1 2015-1.5%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014+0.5%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013+0.3%
Q3 2013-1.0%
Q2 2013+1.8%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012-0.3%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012-1.9%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q3 2011+3.0%
Q2 2011-5.2%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q4 2010+2.1%
Q3 2010+0.0%
Q2 2010-1.6%
Q1 2010+5.8%

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