NASDAQ$NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NVIDIA's Q4 2020 earnings were released, revealing a revenue increase of 41% year-over-year and GAAP EPS up by 66%.

NVIDIA reported strong Q4 results with revenue of $3.11 billion, a 41% increase year-over-year. GAAP EPS was $1.53, up 66% year-over-year, and non-GAAP EPS was $1.89, up 136% year-over-year. Record data center revenue drove excellent results.

  • NVIDIA reported Q4 revenue of $3.11 billion, up 41% year-over-year.
  • GAAP earnings per diluted share for Q4 were $1.53, a 66% increase year-over-year.
  • Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share for Q4 were $1.89, a 136% increase year-over-year.
  • The company's fiscal year 2020 revenue was $10.92 billion, a 7% decrease year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.11B

Previous: $2.21B+40.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.05

Previous: $0.02+135.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

65.4%

Previous: 56.0%+16.8%
GAAP Gross Margin

64.9%

Previous: 54.7%+18.6%
Net Income

$950M

Previous: $567M+67.5%
Operating Income

$990M

Previous: $322M+207.5%
Gross Profit

$2.02B

Previous: $1.21B+66.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$10.9B

Previous: $782M+1293.5%
Total Assets

$17.3B

Previous: $13.3B+30.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$220M

Previous: $157M+40.1%

Revenue & EPS history

NVIDIA · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.11B

Q4 2020+40.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NVIDIA · $82.3B total across 2 segments · Q1 2027

  • Data Center
    $75.2B
  • Graphics
    $7.07B

Forward guidance

NVIDIA provided its outlook for the first quarter of fiscal year 2021, which does not include any contribution from the pending acquisition of Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. The company reduced its revenue outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2021 by $100 million to account for the potential impact of the coronavirus.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be $3.00 billion, plus or minus 2 percent.
  • GAAP gross margin is expected to be 65.0 percent, plus or minus 50 basis points.
  • Non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 65.4 percent, plus or minus 50 basis points.
  • GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be income of approximately $25 million.
  • Non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be income of approximately $25 million.

Headwinds

  • The ultimate effect of the coronavirus is difficult to estimate.
  • The company has reduced its revenue outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2021 by $100 million to account for its potential impact.
  • GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.05 billion.
  • Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $835 million.
  • GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 9 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.0%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

39 / 71 earnings

Positive

+25.7%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-16.6%

Q3 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027-1.0%
Q4 2026-1.7%-7.9%-14.3%
Q3 2026-7.6%-4.7%-3.0%
Q2 2026+1.7%-6.0%-1.9%
Q1 2026+3.0%+4.8%+17.0%
Q4 2025-8.5%-11.6%-16.5%
Q3 2025-0.2%-7.5%-8.4%
Q2 2025-8.3%-7.0%-5.4%
Q1 2025-0.5%+11.6%+32.7%
Q4 2024+13.1%+13.9%+35.8%
Q3 2024-3.4%-5.2%-2.8%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.6%-8.9%
Q1 2024+23.8%+26.9%+37.5%
Q4 2023+14.5%+13.8%+29.6%
Q3 2023-5.9%-8.1%-0.6%
Q2 2023+4.2%-8.0%-27.2%
Q1 2023+10.5%+16.4%+6.0%
Q4 2022-7.5%-10.8%-0.2%
Q3 2022+4.9%+5.8%-8.0%
Q2 2022+1.7%+12.8%+12.6%
Q1 2022-1.0%+3.8%+21.6%
Q4 2021-5.9%-2.1%-9.2%
Q3 2021+0.1%-2.1%-1.1%
Q2 2021-1.0%+3.7%-0.6%
Q1 2021+0.7%-2.8%+3.2%
Q4 2020+6.3%+8.8%-11.6%
Q3 2020-2.1%-0.3%+7.4%
Q2 2020+6.4%+11.9%+21.2%
Q1 2020-2.0%-2.8%-9.4%
Q4 2019+2.9%+2.5%+11.1%
Q3 2019-16.6%-24.4%-25.7%
Q2 2019-5.6%-2.2%+6.7%
Q1 2019-0.5%-4.0%+2.5%
Q4 2018+1.4%+1.7%+7.2%
Q3 2018+3.3%+2.4%-8.4%
Q2 2018-9.3%-3.0%-4.9%
Q1 2018+17.9%+24.4%+55.6%
Q4 2017-4.4%-8.3%-16.4%
Q3 2017+25.7%+23.2%+31.2%
Q2 2017+8.2%+7.0%+1.7%
Q1 2017+13.1%
Q4 2016+11.3%
Q3 2016+12.6%
Q2 2016+11.7%
Q1 2016-5.8%
Q4 2015+6.4%
Q3 2015-1.7%
Q2 2015+7.7%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q4 2014+6.8%
Q3 2014+4.4%
Q2 2014-0.8%
Q1 2014+4.6%
Q4 2013+2.4%
Q3 2013-3.3%
Q2 2013+2.7%
Q1 2013+5.7%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012+4.6%
Q2 2012+4.4%
Q1 2012-8.1%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q3 2011+4.1%
Q2 2011-7.9%
Q1 2010-0.8%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q4 2008-4.7%
Q3 2009-4.6%
Q3 2010-4.6%
Q2 2010+5.7%
Q2 2009+5.7%

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