NASDAQ$NMIH

NMI Holdings Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results and announced a $125 million share repurchase authorization.

NMI Holdings reported a strong fourth quarter of 2021, with net income of $60.5 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, and adjusted net income of $63.5 million, or $0.73 per diluted share. The company's primary insurance-in-force grew to $152.3 billion, and new insurance written was $18.3 billion. The Board of Directors authorized a $125 million share repurchase plan.

  • Delivered record NIW volume.
  • Grew high-quality insured portfolio.
  • Achieved record profitability and consistently strong mid-teen returns.
  • Announced a $125 million debut share repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$125M

Previous: $110M+13.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.59+23.7%
Primary Insurance-in-Force

$152B

Previous: $111B+36.8%
New Insurance Written - NIW

$18.3B

Previous: $19.8B-7.6%
Loss Ratio

-0.4%

Previous: 3.5%-111.4%
Expense Ratio

34.1%

Previous: 34.7%-1.7%
Annualized Return on Equity

15.7%

No prior period
Book Value per Share

$18.25

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$3.13M

Previous: $3.06M+2.4%
Free Cash Flow

$41.2M

Previous: $34.6M+19.2%
Net Income

$60.5M

Previous: $48.3M+25.4%
Operating Income

$78.2M

Previous: $61.6M+26.9%
Gross Profit

$125M

Previous: $109M+15.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$76.6M

Previous: $127M-39.6%
Total Assets

$2.45B

Previous: $2.17B+13.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.56M

Previous: $2.89M+127.3%

Revenue & EPS history

NMI Holdings · Revenue · Quarterly

$125M

Q4 2021+13.8%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NMI Holdings · $148M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Net premiums earned
    $130M
  • Net investment income
    $17.9M
  • Other revenues
    $217K

Forward guidance

NMI Holdings sees a compelling opportunity to continue to support borrowers in need, drive strong growth in high-quality insurance in-force, and deliver strong risk-adjusted returns.

Tailwinds

  • Continue to support borrowers in need
  • Drive strong growth in our high-quality insurance in-force
  • Deliver strong risk-adjusted returns
  • Progress along our capital roadmap
  • Provide investors with the ability to directly access value as we continue to perform

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.8%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

25 / 50 earnings

Positive

+15.5%

Q1 2016

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q3 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.9%-1.2%-7.3%
Q4 2025+1.8%-1.3%-7.2%
Q3 2025-1.7%+0.1%+0.1%
Q1 2025+7.5%+11.4%+18.1%
Q4 2024-4.8%-9.4%-8.7%
Q3 2024-0.8%+1.1%+4.6%
Q2 2024-0.1%-4.3%+2.6%
Q1 2024+1.7%+4.4%+5.6%
Q4 2023+0.0%-2.4%+0.8%
Q3 2023+2.2%+5.6%+1.1%
Q2 2023+6.3%+11.2%+7.2%
Q1 2023-0.8%+1.6%+8.6%
Q4 2022+1.4%+2.8%-6.2%
Q3 2022-0.4%-0.8%-3.8%
Q2 2022+7.3%+9.5%+6.0%
Q1 2022-2.6%-7.6%-2.6%
Q4 2021+2.9%-4.2%-17.5%
Q3 2021-9.4%-10.0%-19.7%
Q2 2021-2.1%+3.2%+3.1%
Q1 2021-3.8%-8.3%-8.5%
Q4 2020+1.7%+4.5%+11.3%
Q3 2020-3.5%+3.0%+3.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%+8.9%+16.8%
Q1 2020+12.1%+7.3%+41.6%
Q4 2019-9.4%-13.3%-42.7%
Q3 2019+9.0%+10.5%+13.9%
Q2 2019+0.8%-0.8%+12.0%
Q1 2019+0.0%+0.2%-2.9%
Q4 2018+0.1%+7.4%+17.0%
Q3 2018+14.5%+10.0%+6.1%
Q2 2018+6.9%+1.4%+3.3%
Q1 2018+12.6%+19.1%+20.2%
Q4 2017+7.6%+8.1%-16.8%
Q3 2017+13.4%+11.3%+17.9%
Q2 2017+0.0%+1.7%-8.1%
Q1 2017-4.7%-6.0%-7.7%
Q4 2016-1.7%-3.5%+2.6%
Q3 2016+7.2%+7.2%+14.4%
Q2 2016+10.7%+13.5%+29.8%
Q1 2016+15.5%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015-1.4%
Q2 2015+5.0%
Q1 2015-1.1%
Q4 2014-8.6%
Q3 2014+3.2%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013-1.3%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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