NASDAQ$MYGN

Myriad Genetics Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong fourth quarter and full-year results, with revenue growth and adjusted EPS.

Myriad Genetics reported an 11% year-over-year increase in both fourth-quarter and full-year revenue, achieving $197 million and $753 million, respectively. The company delivered GAAP EPS of $(0.36) and adjusted EPS of $0.04 for the quarter. Looking ahead, Myriad is raising its 2024 revenue guidance to $820 - $840 million and introducing adjusted EPS guidance of $0.00 - $0.05.

  • Full-year testing volume grew 35% year-over-year, or 18% ex-SneakPeek® volume.
  • Fourth quarter GAAP operating expenses and adjusted operating expenses each decreased by 6% year-over-year.
  • Fourth quarter adjusted cash flow from operations increased by $10 million year-over-year to $14 million.
  • Myriad Genetics acquired select assets from Intermountain Precision Genomics in February 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$197M

Previous: $178M+10.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.04

Previous: -$0.12+133.3%
Net Income

-$31.2M

Previous: -$42.3M+26.2%
Operating Income

-$31.4M

Previous: -$52.2M+39.8%
Gross Profit

$135M

Previous: $124M+9.0%
R&D Expense

$21M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$10.4M

Previous: $8.2M+26.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Myriad Genetics · Revenue · Quarterly

$197M

Q4 2023+10.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 14 quarters(71%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Myriad Genetics · $156M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Hereditary Cancer
    $86.5M+22.7%
  • Prenatal
    $39.5M+78.7%
  • Tumor Profiling
    $30.2M-1.9%

Forward guidance

Myriad Genetics raised its full-year 2024 revenue guidance to $820 - $840 million, reflecting annual growth of 9% - 11%. Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $0.00 and $0.05. Q1 2024 revenue is expected to grow at a mid-to-high single-digit percentage rate year-over-year, with acceleration throughout the year.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue range raised by $5 million for the full year.
  • Revenue growth of between 9% - 11% over 2023 is expected.
  • Gross margin is expected to fluctuate based on product mix, pricing trends, and seasonality.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $20 - $30 million.
  • Q1'24 gross margins are expected to be lower than Q4’23 gross margins and ramping up throughout rest of 2024.

Headwinds

  • Q1'24 revenue expected to grow at a mid-to-high single digit percentage rate year-over-year.
  • Gross margin %69.5% - 70.5%.
  • Adjusted OPEX $572 - $582 million.
  • Q1’24 adjusted EPS expected to be negative reflecting seasonality.
  • GM expected to fluctuate in any quarter given product mix, pricing trends and seasonality.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+20.4%

Q3 2017

Best reaction

-43.7%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-18.3%-16.3%-9.1%
Q4 2025+5.7%+5.3%+5.5%
Q3 2025-21.0%-23.0%-10.4%
Q1 2025-41.3%-41.5%-30.0%
Q4 2024-14.8%-22.1%-33.1%
Q3 2024-0.9%-8.0%-13.9%
Q2 2024+3.1%+8.2%+7.0%
Q1 2024+19.9%+27.5%+11.7%
Q4 2023-5.8%-3.3%-7.0%
Q3 2023+4.3%-3.3%+5.6%
Q2 2023-9.3%-19.9%-15.4%
Q1 2023-0.8%-13.8%+10.2%
Q4 2022+14.6%+24.5%+20.5%
Q3 2022-21.4%-20.3%-1.9%
Q2 2022+5.9%+1.0%-15.9%
Q1 2022-1.6%-9.1%-11.7%
Q4 2021+3.7%-1.3%+6.5%
Q3 2021-6.1%-1.5%-18.1%
Q2 2021+12.8%+11.6%+16.9%
Q1 2021+4.6%-6.5%-6.8%
Q4 2020-3.1%+8.6%+1.7%
Q3 2020-6.7%-4.1%+4.4%
Q2 2020-28.8%-33.2%-44.6%
Q1 2020-38.1%-30.1%-23.6%
Q4 2019-43.7%-44.0%-39.0%
Q3 2019-22.9%-19.9%-28.9%
Q2 2019+3.3%+6.1%+4.3%
Q1 2019-14.3%-19.5%-16.1%
Q4 2018+15.0%+16.0%+13.0%
Q3 2018+15.1%+20.3%+35.0%
Q2 2018-1.7%-4.2%-7.5%
Q1 2018-0.6%+4.1%+9.1%
Q4 2017+11.0%+10.1%+28.6%
Q3 2017+20.4%+19.8%+9.5%
Q2 2017+6.6%+3.2%+23.6%
Q1 2017-16.8%-16.4%-15.6%
Q4 2016-34.3%-28.2%-32.4%
Q3 2016-7.4%
Q2 2016-7.1%
Q1 2016+10.2%
Q4 2015+5.0%
Q3 2015-2.5%
Q2 2015-7.4%
Q1 2015-12.3%
Q4 2014-5.8%
Q3 2014-10.0%
Q2 2014+14.1%
Q1 2014-0.0%
Q4 2013-7.7%
Q3 2013+9.0%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013+13.5%
Q4 2012-1.0%
Q3 2012+1.7%
Q2 2012+3.1%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2009+4.7%
Q4 2011+4.7%
Q3 2010+5.7%
Q3 2011+5.7%
Q2 2011-0.7%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010+5.5%
Q1 2011+5.5%
Q4 2010+5.5%

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