NASDAQ$KHC

Kraft Heinz Co · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kraft Heinz's financial performance was marked by net sales growth across Foodservice, Emerging Markets, and U.S. Retail Grow Platforms, along with improved productivity and reinvestment in strategic areas.

Kraft Heinz reported a 1.0% increase in net sales and a 1.7% increase in Organic Net Sales. Adjusted EPS was up 14.3% to $0.72. The company reached its target Net Leverage ratio of approximately 3.0x.

  • Net sales increased by 1.0%, with Organic Net Sales up by 1.7%.
  • Gross profit margin increased by 568 basis points to 34.0%.
  • Adjusted EPS increased by 14.3% to $0.72.
  • The company reached its target Net Leverage ratio of 2.9x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$6.57B

Previous: $6.51B+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.72

Previous: $0.63+14.3%
Organic Net Sales Growth

1.7%

Previous: 11.6%-85.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$779M

Previous: -$632M-23.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$517M

Previous: -$200M-158.5%
Net Income

$262M

Previous: $432M-39.4%
Operating Income

$653M

Previous: $751M-13.0%
Gross Profit

$2.24B

Previous: $1.84B+21.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.05B

Previous: $997M+5.5%
Total Assets

$89.7B

Previous: $90B-0.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$33M

Previous: $28M+17.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Kraft Heinz · Revenue · Quarterly

$6.57B

Q3 2023+1%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Kraft Heinz · $5B total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $5B-0.4%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2023, the Company expects Organic Net Sales growth of approximately 4%, Constant Currency Adjusted EBITDA growth of 7 to 9 percent, and Adjusted EPS to be in the range of $2.91 to $2.99.

Tailwinds

  • Organic Net Sales growth of 4 to 6 percent versus the prior year, closer to the lower end of the range at approximately 4%.
  • Constant Currency Adjusted EBITDA growth of 5 to 7 percent versus the prior year, or 7 to 9 percent when excluding the impact from lapping a 53rd week in 2022.
  • Adjusted Gross Profit Margin expansion is expected to contribute to Constant Currency Adjusted EBITDA growth.
  • Adjusted Gross Profit Margin expansion of 200 to 250 basis points versus the prior year.
  • Effective tax rate on Adjusted EPS to be in the range of 19 to 20 percent.

Headwinds

  • Includes a negative impact of approximately $0.03 from expected unfavorable changes in non-cash pension and post-retirement benefits
  • Includes a currency headwind of approximately $0.04 at current foreign exchange rates.
  • Expected 2023 year-over-year Adjusted EPS change reflects a negative $0.06 impact from lapping a 53rd week in 2022.
  • Mid-single-digit inflation for the full year
  • The Company expects Organic Net Sales growth of 4 to 6 percent versus the prior year, closer to the lower end of the range at approximately 4%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

21 / 53 earnings

Positive

+14.4%

Q3 2019

Best reaction

-27.6%

Q4 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.1%+3.3%+0.3%
Q4 2025+0.4%-0.4%-9.3%
Q3 2025-4.1%-4.7%-0.0%
Q1 2025+0.2%-0.6%-6.2%
Q4 2024-3.2%-2.2%+2.2%
Q3 2024-3.9%-4.1%-8.1%
Q2 2024+4.6%+4.0%+4.7%
Q1 2024-4.9%-7.4%-8.4%
Q4 2023-3.2%-3.7%-4.9%
Q3 2023+6.5%+5.8%+12.9%
Q2 2023-0.9%-2.5%-9.2%
Q1 2023+3.5%+4.1%-2.4%
Q4 2022-0.3%+0.3%-5.6%
Q3 2022+2.6%+3.8%+5.0%
Q2 2022-3.8%-3.1%-1.4%
Q1 2022+3.1%-0.8%-10.6%
Q4 2021+9.0%+10.9%+8.5%
Q3 2021+0.1%+0.8%-4.4%
Q2 2021-5.1%-4.2%-8.0%
Q1 2021+2.9%+5.6%+8.6%
Q4 2020+4.4%+4.3%+12.5%
Q3 2020+4.7%+8.8%+12.4%
Q2 2020-3.3%-1.4%-1.9%
Q1 2020-3.8%-5.2%-0.2%
Q4 2019-10.5%-9.0%-20.2%
Q3 2019+14.4%+15.5%+7.0%
Q2 2019-14.2%-15.9%-11.6%
Q1 2019-14.2%-15.9%-11.6%
Q4 2018-27.6%-31.4%-33.1%
Q3 2018-7.7%-2.7%-7.0%
Q2 2018+4.9%+1.5%-1.9%
Q1 2018-1.3%+5.6%+3.5%
Q4 2017-5.5%-7.2%-10.1%
Q2 2013-5.5%-7.2%-10.1%
Q3 2017+0.9%-0.4%+5.0%
Q2 2017-0.2%-0.8%-6.9%
Q1 2017+0.8%+0.5%+5.1%
Q4 2016-3.9%+6.4%+1.3%
Q3 2016-4.7%+0.2%-8.2%
Q2 2016+4.6%+5.7%+5.5%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q1 2016+5.5%
Q4 2015+6.6%
Q3 2014-5.5%
Q3 2015-5.0%
Q1 2013-0.6%
Q2 2014-0.6%
Q1 2014-0.6%
Q4 2012-0.6%
Q4 2014-0.6%
Q4 2013-0.6%
Q3 2013-0.6%
Q2 2015-0.6%
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011

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