NASDAQ$IRDM

Iridium Communications Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Iridium reported Q4 2022 results, with revenue increasing and subscriber growth driven by commercial IoT.

Iridium Communications Inc. reported a net loss of $0.8 million for Q4 2022, compared to a net loss of $5.9 million for the same period in 2021. Total revenue increased by 24% to $193.8 million, with service revenue growing by 8% to $136.8 million. The company ended the quarter with 1,999,000 total billable subscribers, a 16% increase year-over-year.

  • Total revenue increased by 24% year-over-year, reaching $193.8 million.
  • Service revenue grew by 8% year-over-year, amounting to $136.8 million.
  • Commercial service revenue increased by 10% year-over-year, totaling $110.3 million.
  • Total billable subscribers increased by 16% year-over-year, reaching 1,999,000.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$194M

Previous: $156M+24.3%
EPS (adj)

-$0.01

Previous: -$0.04+75.0%
Commercial Voice & Data ARPU

$41.00

Previous: $41.00+0.0%
Commercial IoT Data ARPU

$7.50

Previous: $8.20-8.5%
Net Income

-$808K

Previous: -$5.9M+86.3%
Operating Income

$18.8M

Previous: $10.7M+75.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Iridium · Revenue · Quarterly

$194M

Q4 2022+24.3%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Iridium · $180M total across 6 segments · Q4 2022

  • Commercial Voice and Data
    $49.5M+9.6%
  • Subscriber Equipment
    $39.3M+101.7%
  • Commercial IoT Data
    $32.2M+11.3%
  • Government Services
    $26.5M+0.0%
  • Engineering and Support Services
    $17.8M+84.0%
  • Commercial Hosted Payload & Other Data
    $14.7M-0.4%

Forward guidance

Iridium issued its full-year 2023 outlook, anticipating total service revenue growth between 9% and 11% and OEBITDA between $455 million and $465 million.

Tailwinds

  • Total service revenue growth between 9% and 11% for full-year 2023.
  • Full-year 2023 OEBITDA between $455 million and $465 million.
  • Negligible cash taxes in 2023.
  • Cash taxes are expected to be negligible through approximately 2024.
  • Net leverage of between 2.5 and 3.5 times OEBITDA at the end of 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

36 / 65 earnings

Positive

+25.9%

Q3 2015

Best reaction

-18.1%

Q2 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%-7.5%+21.0%
Q4 2025+21.3%+27.5%+34.7%
Q3 2025-7.6%-11.9%-18.4%
Q1 2025-6.9%-0.2%+10.0%
Q4 2024+15.4%+17.1%-0.5%
Q3 2024+4.6%-4.3%-6.3%
Q2 2024+2.1%+12.2%+2.0%
Q1 2024+10.9%+16.3%+27.4%
Q4 2023-14.0%-16.6%-22.9%
Q3 2023-12.1%-13.7%-14.9%
Q2 2023-15.0%-9.8%-19.9%
Q1 2023+14.7%+9.9%+2.3%
Q4 2022+13.8%+11.8%+3.8%
Q3 2022+0.1%+1.7%+10.0%
Q2 2022+10.0%+12.3%+16.8%
Q1 2022+4.2%-5.8%-9.8%
Q4 2021+4.9%+5.2%+15.0%
Q3 2021+5.3%+2.3%+1.9%
Q2 2021+10.6%+8.9%+3.5%
Q1 2021-2.0%-2.1%-2.7%
Q4 2020+0.0%+3.2%-12.7%
Q3 2020-0.5%-3.5%+14.6%
Q2 2020+3.4%+0.1%+3.8%
Q1 2020-3.8%-9.0%-4.9%
Q4 2019+1.7%-5.9%-19.5%
Q3 2019+0.4%-1.6%-6.4%
Q2 2019+4.6%+7.7%-2.7%
Q1 2019-0.3%+2.3%-15.3%
Q4 2018+5.6%+2.6%+20.6%
Q3 2018+0.6%+2.3%+22.3%
Q2 2018+3.7%+7.1%+14.7%
Q1 2018-2.4%-6.8%+6.4%
Q4 2017-0.4%-6.0%-9.2%
Q3 2017+16.5%+10.1%+10.6%
Q2 2017-5.0%-9.2%-5.5%
Q1 2017+4.4%+5.4%-1.0%
Q4 2016-2.7%-4.4%-2.2%
Q3 2016+1.2%+0.6%+13.1%
Q2 2016-2.7%-6.1%-8.9%
Q1 2016-0.5%
Q4 2015-2.4%
Q3 2015+25.9%
Q2 2015-3.9%
Q1 2015-7.2%
Q4 2014-1.3%
Q3 2014+4.6%
Q2 2014+2.6%
Q1 2014+14.4%
Q4 2013+4.3%
Q3 2013-10.5%
Q2 2013-18.1%
Q1 2013+7.8%
Q4 2012-5.7%
Q3 2012-11.3%
Q2 2012-17.1%
Q1 2011-1.1%
Q1 2012-1.1%
Q4 2009+18.4%
Q4 2011+18.4%
Q3 2011+9.2%
Q3 2010+9.2%
Q2 2010-4.4%
Q2 2011-4.4%
Q4 2010-4.4%
Q1 2010+4.5%

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