NASDAQ$FMNB

Farmers National Banc Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Farmers National Banc Corp. reported strong Q4 2022 earnings driven by record net income and strategic acquisitions.

Farmers National Banc Corp. reported a net income of $13.4 million for Q4 2022, an increase compared to $5.7 million for Q4 2021. Diluted earnings per share were $0.39, compared to $0.18 in the same period last year. The company's results were impacted by merger-related costs and losses on the sale of securities and other assets.

  • Earnings per diluted share were $0.39 ($0.42 excluding certain items, non-GAAP).
  • Loan growth of $5.2 million for the quarter, excluding PPP loans.
  • Efficiency ratio, (excluding certain items, non-GAAP), was 51.1%.
  • Return on average assets, (excluding certain items, non-GAAP), was 1.36%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$37.6M

Previous: $39.2M-4.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.42

Previous: $0.50-16.0%
Capital Expenditures

$748K

Previous: $915K-18.3%
Free Cash Flow

$20.8M

Previous: $14.1M+48.0%
Net Income

$13.4M

Previous: $5.7M+134.2%
Operating Income

$16.1M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$21.4M

Previous: $29.2M-26.6%
Total Assets

$4.08B

Previous: $4.14B-1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$501K

Previous: $328K+52.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Farmers National · Revenue · Quarterly

$37.6M

Q4 2022-4.1%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 14 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The Company expects competition for deposits to remain highly elevated for the foreseeable future which will continue to increase funding costs. The volatility in the bond market is expected to continue in 2023, which may result in increased volatility in the fair value of the Company’s available for sale securities.

Headwinds

  • Intense competition from both other banks and the treasury market itself drove the decline in deposits.
  • Some customers are utilizing deposit balances to counter the higher cost of living brought on by the inflationary environment in 2022.
  • Competition for deposits to remain highly elevated for the foreseeable future which will continue to increase funding costs.
  • Volatility in the bond market is expected to continue in 2023, which may result in increased volatility in the fair value of the Company’s available for sale securities.
  • Loans continue to reprice higher but cannot keep up with the increase in funding costs.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

33 / 66 earnings

Positive

+8.6%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-9.3%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.5%+3.3%+3.1%
Q4 2025-6.2%-4.2%-4.9%
Q3 2025-4.7%-3.7%-4.6%
Q2 2025-1.0%-2.6%+1.7%
Q1 2025+2.7%+5.1%+13.2%
Q4 2024+2.6%+0.1%+5.7%
Q3 2024-7.1%-5.4%+5.8%
Q2 2024+8.6%+4.9%+2.5%
Q1 2024-3.7%-5.1%-2.1%
Q4 2023+3.9%+4.0%+0.0%
Q3 2023+4.1%+5.0%+18.5%
Q2 2023-1.4%-0.6%-8.7%
Q1 2023+3.4%+8.2%+10.1%
Q4 2022-8.2%-4.0%-0.3%
Q3 2022-2.5%-0.1%+10.4%
Q2 2022-9.3%-8.4%-7.0%
Q1 2022-1.2%-0.4%-0.4%
Q4 2021-3.8%-4.5%-5.1%
Q3 2021+4.6%-0.7%-1.9%
Q2 2021-0.8%-0.3%+3.6%
Q1 2021+2.2%+0.0%+5.7%
Q4 2020+3.3%+3.1%+3.7%
Q3 2020+1.5%-4.4%+12.2%
Q2 2020-0.5%-0.3%+5.3%
Q1 2020-3.1%-13.2%-5.2%
Q4 2019+1.1%+1.1%-5.2%
Q3 2019-1.0%-0.5%+2.2%
Q2 2019-0.6%+0.8%-7.7%
Q1 2019+2.0%+4.8%+2.6%
Q4 2018+0.2%+3.7%+15.1%
Q3 2018-0.1%-4.9%-3.5%
Q2 2018+1.2%+3.4%-2.5%
Q1 2018+2.4%+3.8%+9.3%
Q4 2017-2.3%-8.8%-8.2%
Q3 2017+2.3%-5.5%-8.1%
Q2 2017-4.7%-6.8%-8.8%
Q1 2017+3.8%+6.4%+2.3%
Q4 2016+1.5%-8.6%+4.1%
Q3 2016+1.0%+0.9%+12.3%
Q2 2016+2.8%+9.4%+7.9%
Q1 2016-0.1%
Q4 2015-0.1%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015-1.9%
Q4 2014+0.3%
Q3 2014-1.1%
Q2 2014+1.4%
Q1 2014-1.7%
Q4 2013+3.9%
Q3 2013-0.3%
Q2 2013+1.0%
Q1 2013-2.1%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q4 2012+2.1%
Q3 2012+0.0%
Q2 2012-4.1%
Q1 2012-1.2%
Q4 2009+1.9%
Q3 2011+1.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q2 2011+0.9%
Q1 2011+1.0%
Q3 2010+1.4%
Q2 2010+0.0%
Q1 2010+0.2%

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