NASDAQ$DENN

Denny's Corp. · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Denny's reported an increase in net income and domestic system-wide same-store sales growth.

Denny's Corporation reported its Q4 2019 results, featuring a ninth consecutive year of domestic system-wide same-store sales growth and the substantial completion of its refranchising strategy. The company sold nine company restaurants to franchisees and repurchased $45.4 million of common stock. Total Operating Revenue was $113.8 million, and Net Income was $18.6 million, or $0.31 per diluted share.

  • Total Operating Revenue was $113.8 million.
  • Domestic system-wide same-store sales grew 1.7%.
  • Net Income was $18.6 million, or $0.31 per diluted share.
  • The company repurchased $45.4 million of common stock.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$114M

Previous: $160M-28.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.23

Previous: $0.18+27.8%
Domestic Same-Store Sales Growth

1.7%

No prior period
Franchise Operating Margin

48.9%

No prior period
Company Restaurant Operating Margin

17.7%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$24.9M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$1.33M

Previous: $4.73M-71.9%
Free Cash Flow

$9.97M

Previous: $22.7M-56.1%
Net Income

$18.6M

Previous: $11.5M+61.7%
Operating Income

$26.6M

Previous: $19.8M+34.6%
Gross Profit

$40.4M

Previous: $43.5M-7.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.37M

Previous: $5.03M-32.9%
Total Assets

$460M

Previous: $335M+37.3%
Stock-Based Comp

-$448K

Previous: $2.38M-118.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Denny's · Revenue · Quarterly

$114M

Q4 2019-28.7%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Denny's · $114M total across 2 segments · Q4 2019

  • Franchise and License Revenue
    $65M
  • Company Restaurant Sales
    $48.8M

Forward guidance

Denny's provided estimates for the full year 2020, anticipating domestic system-wide same-store sales growth between 0% and 2% and total operating revenue between $453 and $459 million. The company also expects Adjusted EBITDA between $97 and $100 million and Adjusted Free Cash Flow between $39 and $42 million.

Tailwinds

  • Domestic system-wide same-store sales growth between 0% and 2%.
  • 30 to 40 new restaurant openings, with a net system change of between (5) and 5 restaurants.
  • Total operating revenue between $453 and $459 million, including franchise and license revenue between $260 and $263 million.
  • Franchise Operating Margin between 48.0% and 49.0% and Company Restaurant Operating Margin between 18.0% and 19.0%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA between $97 and $100 million.

Headwinds

  • Total general and administrative expenses between $66 and $69 million, including approximately $10 million related to share-based compensation expense.
  • Net interest expense between $17 and $19 million.
  • Effective income tax rate between 22% and 25% with cash taxes between $9 and $12 million.
  • Cash capital expenditures between $28 and $33 million, including between $13 and $18 million of anticipated real estate acquisitions through like-kind exchanges.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow between $39 and $42 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 16 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.4%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

26 / 64 earnings

Positive

+50.1%

Q3 2025

Best reaction

-23.8%

Q4 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025
Q3 2025+50.1%+48.7%+50.1%
Q2 2025-3.3%-0.5%+31.8%
Q1 2025+3.2%+17.9%+2.6%
Q4 2024-23.8%-27.5%-41.5%
Q3 2024-17.2%-5.9%-3.8%
Q2 2024-1.6%-12.2%-11.9%
Q1 2024-2.1%-1.3%-15.2%
Q4 2023-10.1%-9.9%-13.7%
Q3 2023+1.2%+7.5%+11.7%
Q2 2023-11.2%-12.9%-19.1%
Q1 2023-5.4%-4.1%+1.6%
Q4 2022+1.3%+3.6%-11.0%
Q3 2022+2.6%+4.1%+10.6%
Q2 2022+8.1%+0.4%+2.1%
Q1 2022-14.8%-18.9%-20.4%
Q4 2021-2.6%-3.4%-11.9%
Q3 2021-2.2%
Q2 2021+5.8%
Q1 2021-4.3%
Q4 2020-0.9%
Q3 2020-13.6%
Q2 2020+4.9%
Q1 2020+4.6%
Q4 2019-3.4%
Q3 2019-3.2%
Q2 2019+3.8%
Q1 2019+1.5%
Q4 2018-3.6%
Q3 2018+20.6%
Q2 2018-7.1%
Q1 2018-14.4%
Q4 2017+3.7%
Q3 2017+1.8%
Q2 2017+8.4%
Q1 2017-6.5%
Q4 2016+12.0%
Q3 2016+6.1%
Q2 2016-2.0%
Q1 2016+6.1%
Q4 2015+5.1%
Q3 2015-6.3%
Q2 2015+8.0%
Q1 2015-0.3%
Q4 2014+5.6%
Q3 2014+10.8%
Q2 2014+9.9%
Q1 2014+5.4%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013-1.9%
Q2 2013-3.6%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012-1.8%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-4.2%
Q1 2011-4.1%
Q1 2012+3.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2010-3.8%
Q3 2011-3.8%
Q4 2010-7.8%
Q2 2011-7.8%
Q2 2010-3.0%
Q1 2010+11.1%

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