NASDAQ$CSX

CSX Corp · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CSX's Q4 2023 financial performance declined compared to the prior year period.

CSX Corp. reported a decrease in operating income, net earnings, and diluted EPS for Q4 2023 compared to Q4 2022. Total volume increased slightly, driven by merchandise and coal volume growth, offset by declines in intermodal storage revenue, reduced fuel surcharge, and lower global benchmark coal prices.

  • Operating income for Q4 2023 was $1.32 billion, a 10% decrease year-over-year.
  • Net earnings for Q4 2023 were $886 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, compared to $1.02 billion, or $0.49 per diluted share, in the same period last year.
  • Revenue totaled $3.68 billion for the quarter, a 1% decrease year-over-year.
  • Total volume increased by 1% compared to the prior year, with Merchandise and Coal volume up 3%, and Intermodal volume flat.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.68B

Previous: $3.73B-1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.45

Previous: $0.49-8.2%
Capital Expenditures

$691M

Previous: $696M-0.7%
Free Cash Flow

$809M

Previous: $668M+21.1%
Net Income

$886M

Previous: $1.02B-13.1%
Operating Income

$1.32B

Previous: $1.46B-9.6%
Gross Profit

$1.31B

Previous: $1.4B-6.6%

Revenue & EPS history

CSX · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.68B

Q4 2023-1.3%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 15 quarters(40%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

CSX anticipates building on its positive momentum with profitable growth in the coming year, focusing on customer service and leveraging its reliable network performance.

Tailwinds

  • The railroad is running well.
  • The company has the right team and resources in place.
  • There is a focus on excellent customer service.
  • The company aims to build on positive momentum.
  • Anticipates profitable growth.

Headwinds

  • Lower intermodal storage revenue.
  • Reduced fuel surcharge.
  • The effect of lower global benchmark coal prices.
  • A decline in trucking revenue.
  • Dynamic economic environment.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.8%

Avg return

30 days after

57%

42 / 74 earnings

Positive

+9.2%

Q1 2008

Best reaction

-9.1%

Q2 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%+4.7%+5.4%
Q4 2025-0.8%+4.5%+18.3%
Q3 2025+1.8%-0.2%-3.0%
Q2 2025+0.1%+1.3%-1.1%
Q1 2025+1.2%+1.6%+14.5%
Q4 2024-2.9%-2.0%-4.1%
Q3 2024-6.8%-5.2%-1.0%
Q2 2024-0.6%-0.2%+2.3%
Q1 2024-1.3%-0.6%-3.8%
Q4 2023+0.3%+2.0%+9.9%
Q3 2023+0.3%-3.2%+3.1%
Q2 2023-4.0%-1.9%-8.7%
Q1 2023+4.1%+1.1%+5.7%
Q4 2022-5.4%-6.2%-3.5%
Q3 2022-1.4%+3.0%+10.6%
Q2 2022+4.3%+5.5%+13.8%
Q1 2022+2.9%-1.8%-12.3%
Q4 2021-3.3%-4.3%-1.7%
Q3 2021+2.6%+4.7%+5.8%
Q2 2021+4.8%+5.5%+8.2%
Q1 2021+4.0%+4.5%-0.4%
Q4 2020-6.0%-6.8%-1.2%
Q3 2020+2.0%-1.6%+14.2%
Q2 2020-1.2%-1.2%+2.3%
Q1 2020+3.3%+11.7%+15.2%
Q4 2019+1.9%-0.2%+6.1%
Q3 2019+0.9%+2.3%+3.5%
Q2 2019-9.1%-10.4%-17.9%
Q1 2019+4.0%+4.1%+3.1%
Q4 2018+0.0%+3.5%+11.4%
Q3 2018-0.2%-4.1%+1.9%
Q2 2018+7.8%+8.5%+14.8%
Q1 2018+8.2%+6.4%+12.6%
Q4 2017-2.6%-3.0%-6.2%
Q3 2017+1.6%+3.2%-5.1%
Q2 2017-5.1%-5.4%-10.5%
Q1 2017+6.3%+7.5%+8.0%
Q4 2016-4.9%+14.3%+22.9%
Q3 2016+2.2%+1.8%+13.5%
Q2 2016+7.4%+5.4%+3.8%
Q1 2016+6.1%
Q4 2015-5.0%
Q3 2015-4.2%
Q2 2015+1.6%
Q1 2015-0.7%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+4.0%
Q2 2014+0.6%
Q1 2014-2.1%
Q4 2013-5.7%
Q3 2013-0.5%
Q2 2013+3.2%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2012+3.7%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+0.1%
Q1 2012+1.3%
Q4 2011-1.2%
Q3 2011+7.1%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2011-1.9%
Q4 2010-2.6%
Q3 2010+0.3%
Q2 2010-3.5%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q4 2009+0.8%
Q3 2009-2.9%
Q3 2008-2.9%
Q2 2008+6.5%
Q2 2009+6.5%
Q4 2007+9.2%
Q4 2008+9.2%
Q1 2009+9.2%
Q1 2008+9.2%

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