NASDAQ$CSCO

Cisco Systems Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Cisco's Q3 2024 performance reflected revenue decrease, strong profitability, and business model transformation enhanced by Splunk acquisition.

Cisco reported Q3 2024 revenue of $12.7 billion, a 13% year-over-year decrease, but aligned with expectations. GAAP EPS was $0.46 and non-GAAP EPS was $0.88. The company's profitability remained strong with a GAAP gross margin of 65.1% and a non-GAAP gross margin of 68.3%. The acquisition of Splunk contributed $413 million in revenue and further enhanced the business model.

  • Revenue was $12.7 billion, a 13% decrease year-over-year, in line with expectations.
  • GAAP gross margin was 65.1% and non-GAAP gross margin was 68.3%, demonstrating strong profitability.
  • Total subscription revenue reached $6.9 billion, representing 54% of total revenue.
  • Total annualized recurring revenue (ARR) was $29.2 billion, including $4.2 billion from Splunk, a 22% increase year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12.7B

Previous: $14.6B-12.8%
EPS

$0.46

Previous: $1.00-54.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin

68.3%

Previous: 65.2%+4.8%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin

34.2%

Previous: 33.9%+0.9%
Gross Margin GAAP

65.1%

Previous: 63.4%+2.7%
Operating Margin GAAP

17.2%

Previous: 27.1%-36.5%
Quarterly Dividend

$0.40

Previous: $0.39+2.6%
Product Revenue

$9.02B

No prior period
Services Revenue

$3.68B

No prior period
Remaining Performance Obligations

$38.8B

No prior period
Deferred Revenue

$27.5B

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$472M

Previous: -$616M+23.4%
Free Cash Flow

$1.41B

Previous: $2.6B-45.5%
Net Income

$1.89B

Previous: $3.21B-41.3%
Operating Income

$2.19B

Previous: $3.95B-44.5%
Gross Profit

$8.27B

Previous: $9.23B-10.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.91B

Previous: $8.04B+10.8%
Total Assets

$123B

Previous: $97.5B+26.1%
R&D Expense

$1.95B

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$811M

Previous: $623M+30.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Cisco · Revenue · Quarterly

$12.7B

Q3 2024-12.8%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Cisco · $15.8B total across 5 segments · Q3 2026

  • Networking
    $8.82B
  • Services
    $3.72B
  • Security
    $2.01B
  • Collaboration
    $1.02B
  • Observability
    $269M

Forward guidance

Cisco provided guidance for Q4 FY 2024, projecting revenue between $13.4 billion and $13.6 billion, and non-GAAP EPS between $0.84 and $0.86. The guidance includes $950 million to $1 billion in revenue from Splunk but also includes a negative impact to non-GAAP EPS of approximately ($0.03) due to interest from financing the acquisition.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be between $13.4 billion and $13.6 billion.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin rate is projected to be 66.5% – 67.5%.
  • Non-GAAP operating margin rate is expected to be 31.5% – 32.5%.
  • Non-GAAP EPS is projected to be $0.84 – $0.86.
  • Splunk is expected to contribute $950 million to $1 billion in revenue.

Headwinds

  • Includes a negative impact to non-GAAP EPS of approximately ($0.03).
  • Interest impact from financing the acquisition more than offsets the operating benefit.
  • GAAP EPS will be $0.46 to $0.51 for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024.
  • Assumes an effective tax provision rate of approximately 18% for GAAP and non-GAAP results.
  • Guidance does not include the effects of any future acquisitions/divestitures, asset impairments, Russia-Ukraine war costs, restructurings, (gains) and losses on investments and significant tax matters or other events, which may or may not be significant unless specifically stated.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

37 / 72 earnings

Positive

+12.3%

Q3 2013

Best reaction

-17.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.5%-0.9%+5.3%
Q2 2026-12.3%-10.2%-8.4%
Q1 2026-2.2%+4.6%+5.2%
Q4 2025+0.3%-5.2%-5.5%
Q3 2025+4.8%+3.5%+4.6%
Q2 2025+2.1%+3.3%-3.2%
Q1 2025-1.3%-2.4%-0.2%
Q4 2024+7.0%+10.2%+9.8%
Q3 2024-1.2%-3.7%-6.7%
Q2 2024-1.2%-2.4%-1.4%
Q1 2024-9.6%-9.2%-6.2%
Q4 2023+2.6%+3.9%+5.0%
Q3 2023+2.7%+4.0%+11.0%
Q2 2023+6.9%+6.4%+5.2%
Q1 2023+3.8%+6.1%+6.5%
Q4 2022+5.6%+2.0%-7.4%
Q3 2022-17.5%-14.3%-14.2%
Q2 2022+2.8%+5.4%+3.1%
Q1 2022-5.9%-4.2%+6.1%
Q4 2021+2.2%+4.5%+1.5%
Q3 2021-0.2%+0.9%-1.6%
Q2 2021-3.5%-3.4%-0.3%
Q1 2021+5.3%+6.5%+12.7%
Q4 2020-9.5%-10.8%-15.5%
Q3 2020+1.5%+4.3%+4.3%
Q2 2020-3.7%-4.4%-23.4%
Q1 2020-7.2%-6.7%-6.3%
Q4 2019-12.3%-8.0%-5.1%
Q3 2019+7.5%+7.7%+5.2%
Q2 2019+1.1%+3.2%+11.1%
Q1 2019+3.7%+1.4%+1.6%
Q4 2018+2.6%+5.0%+7.7%
Q3 2018-4.4%-3.8%-2.7%
Q2 2018+6.9%+7.5%+9.2%
Q1 2018+5.4%+7.2%+12.2%
Q4 2017-3.3%-4.4%+1.1%
Q3 2017-8.5%-7.9%-7.8%
Q2 2017+4.0%+4.4%+5.9%
Q1 2017-5.2%-5.2%-3.5%
Q4 2016-2.1%-1.6%-0.9%
Q3 2016+3.5%
Q2 2016+9.0%
Q1 2016-5.8%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015-0.6%
Q2 2015+7.2%
Q1 2015+2.1%
Q4 2014-2.4%
Q3 2014+5.8%
Q2 2014-1.9%
Q1 2014-9.9%
Q4 2013-7.0%
Q3 2013+12.3%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013+4.7%
Q4 2012+10.8%
Q3 2012-10.2%
Q2 2012-1.0%
Q1 2012-0.4%
Q4 2011+2.0%
Q3 2011-0.1%
Q2 2011-1.2%
Q1 2011+0.3%
Q4 2008-0.4%
Q4 2010-0.4%
Q3 2010+1.5%
Q3 2009+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.2%
Q2 2010+1.2%
Q1 2010-1.7%
Q4 2009-1.7%
Q1 2009-1.7%

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