NASDAQ$CHDN

Churchill Downs Inc. · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Churchill Downs' financial performance remained relatively flat compared to the previous year, with a slight increase in net income but a decrease in diluted EPS.

Churchill Downs Incorporated reported a mixed performance for the fourth quarter of 2022. While net revenue increased, net income and diluted EPS decreased compared to the prior year. The company saw growth in Adjusted EBITDA, driven by acquisitions and operational improvements, but also faced challenges from increased expenses and asset impairments.

  • Net revenue increased due to acquisitions and growth at existing properties.
  • Net income decreased due to increased expenses and asset impairments.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased, driven by acquisitions and operational improvements.
  • The company completed several acquisitions and dispositions during the year, including the P2E Transaction and the sale of the Arlington Heights property.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$480M

Previous: $365M+31.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.73

Previous: $0.64+14.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$181M

Previous: $127M+42.3%
Net Income

$1M

Previous: $43.3M-97.7%
Operating Income

$83.3M

Previous: $34.7M+140.1%
Gross Profit

$131M

Previous: $83.4M+57.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$130M

Previous: $291M-55.4%
Total Assets

$6.21B

Previous: $2.98B+108.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.3M

Previous: $7.4M+12.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Churchill Downs · Revenue · Quarterly

$480M

Q4 2022+31.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Churchill Downs · $211M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Gaming
    $211M+22.5%

Forward guidance

Churchill Downs Incorporated anticipates project capital expenditures between $575 to $675 million in 2023, funded by operating cash flows, cash on hand, and land sale proceeds.

Tailwinds

  • Expansion and Hotel at Derby City Gaming is expected to be completed in the Second Quarter 2023
  • Derby City Gaming Downtown Property Build Out is expected to be completed in the Second Half 2023
  • Rosie's Emporia HRM Entertainment Venue Property Build Out is expected to be completed in the Third Quarter 2023
  • Ellis Park and Owensboro Annex Property Build Out is expected to be completed in 2024
  • Dumfries Project Property Build Out is expected to be completed in 2024

Headwinds

  • Project capital expenditures are subject to the timing of work completed.
  • Project capital expenditures are subject to unanticipated delays.
  • Project capital expenditures are subject to the timing of payments to third parties.
  • The amount may vary significantly.
  • New Hampshire HRM Facility Property Build Out is expected to be completed in 2024

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.0%

Q3 2011

Best reaction

-16.2%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.1%+10.5%-6.4%
Q4 2025-6.1%-2.8%-12.1%
Q3 2025+7.5%+3.5%+10.4%
Q1 2025-16.2%-13.0%-11.2%
Q4 2024-0.4%-4.4%-6.2%
Q3 2024+4.4%+5.2%+5.7%
Q2 2024-2.6%+2.3%-2.4%
Q1 2024+4.6%+5.4%+7.7%
Q4 2023+3.1%+3.9%+1.3%
Q3 2023-3.0%-2.2%+8.3%
Q2 2023-8.9%-11.2%-5.0%
Q1 2023+13.2%+17.5%+8.4%
Q4 2022+0.7%+0.7%+0.0%
Q3 2022-4.9%-0.1%+7.5%
Q2 2022+0.9%-2.5%-4.3%
Q1 2022+3.9%+5.6%+1.1%
Q4 2021+1.9%+12.3%+4.4%
Q3 2021-5.7%-4.8%-8.8%
Q2 2021-1.1%-1.8%+11.1%
Q1 2021+0.9%+2.4%-8.3%
Q4 2020+0.6%+4.2%+2.2%
Q3 2020-6.6%-6.8%+12.7%
Q2 2020+10.6%+14.2%+41.5%
Q1 2020-1.8%-7.7%+30.1%
Q4 2019-7.6%-14.5%-37.4%
Q3 2019-2.0%-6.4%-2.0%
Q2 2019+2.9%-6.4%+0.4%
Q1 2019+5.3%+13.8%+7.6%
Q4 2018-4.0%-7.3%-7.6%
Q3 2018+11.0%+9.9%+13.9%
Q2 2018-2.4%-1.8%-1.2%
Q1 2018+7.4%+7.3%+19.8%
Q4 2017-0.0%+3.4%-4.8%
Q3 2017+0.4%+2.0%+11.8%
Q2 2017+2.1%+0.6%+4.1%
Q1 2017+1.4%-2.0%-0.4%
Q4 2016-0.4%-1.0%+3.9%
Q3 2016-2.9%-3.6%+12.1%
Q2 2016+6.7%+8.6%+14.4%
Q1 2016-6.9%
Q4 2015+4.4%
Q3 2015+4.3%
Q2 2015+5.7%
Q1 2015+5.0%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014-0.9%
Q2 2014+0.1%
Q1 2014-0.9%
Q4 2013-1.5%
Q3 2013-2.3%
Q2 2013+3.3%
Q1 2013+1.3%
Q4 2012+1.9%
Q3 2012-3.9%
Q2 2012+4.1%
Q1 2011+5.2%
Q1 2012+5.2%
Q4 2011+8.3%
Q3 2010+14.0%
Q3 2011+14.0%
Q4 2010+1.4%
Q2 2011+1.4%
Q2 2010+1.4%
Q4 2009+1.4%
Q1 2010-3.8%

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