NASDAQ$CAPR

Capricor Therapeutics Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Capricor reported financial results for the first quarter of 2024 and provided a corporate update.

Capricor Therapeutics reported revenue of $4.9 million and a net loss of $9.8 million for the first quarter of 2024. The company received a $10 million milestone payment under its U.S. Distribution and Commercialization Agreement with Nippon Shinyaku.

  • Phase 3, HOPE-3 Trial (Cohort A) of CAP-1002 in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy fully enrolled and on track to report top-line data in Q4 2024.
  • Positive Type-B CMC FDA Meeting held in Q1; Company aligned with FDA on demonstration of non-clinical comparability.
  • Received First Milestone Payment of $10 Million under U.S. Distribution and Commercialization Agreement with Nippon Shinyaku in Q1.
  • Recent FDA Feedback Supports Requests for a Pre-BLA Meeting and Subsequent Rolling BLA Submission at Upcoming Type-B Clinical FDA Meeting in May 2024.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.91M

Previous: $2.99M+64.3%
EPS

-$0.31

Previous: -$0.31+0.0%
R&D expenses

$11.1M

No prior period
G&A expenses

$4.07M

No prior period
Total OpEx

$15.2M

No prior period
Investment income

$472K

No prior period
Unrealized loss on securities

$71.9K

No prior period
Total liabilities

$25M

No prior period
Stockholders’ equity

$145M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$609K

Previous: -$348K-75.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.4M

Previous: -$8.12M-28.2%
Net Income

-$9.79M

Previous: -$7.77M-26.1%
Operating Income

-$10.3M

Previous: -$8.18M-25.4%
Gross Profit

$4.91M

Previous: $2.99M+64.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$6.21M

Previous: $10.6M-41.4%
Total Assets

$49.4M

Previous: $53.9M-8.2%
R&D Expense

$11.1M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$3.27M

Previous: $2.19M+48.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Capricor · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.91M

Q1 2024+64.3%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 12 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Capricor anticipates several milestones, including a Type-B clinical FDA meeting in May 2024, reporting 3-year HOPE-2 OLE data in Q2 2024, and topline data from HOPE-3 (Cohort A) in Q4 2024. They expect cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities will be sufficient to cover anticipated expenses and capital requirements into the first quarter of 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Type-B clinical FDA meeting in May 2024 to discuss requests for a pre-BLA meeting and rolling BLA schedule.
  • Plan to report 3-year HOPE-2 OLE data in the second quarter of 2024.
  • Plan to announce further updates with respect to next steps for HOPE-3 (Cohort B), when available.
  • Plan to report topline data from HOPE-3 (Cohort A) in the fourth quarter of 2024.
  • Updates on NIAID collaboration for StealthX™ vaccine as they become available; NIAID plans to initiate Phase 1 clinical trial in late 2024, subject to regulatory approval.

Headwinds

  • Expectation excludes potential milestone payments under Commercialization and Distribution Agreements with Nippon Shinyaku.
  • Excludes strategic use of capital not currently in the Company’s base-case planning assumptions.
  • R&D expenses increased from $7.66 million to $11.10 million compared to last year
  • General and administrative expenses increased from $3.50 million to $4.07 million compared to last year
  • Net loss increased from $7.76 million to $9.79 million compared to last year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+7.6%

Avg return

30 days after

39%

19 / 49 earnings

Positive

+25.4%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-20.4%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%-10.9%
Q4 2025+1.0%-7.5%-6.6%
Q3 2025+10.8%+0.7%+388.8%
Q1 2025+10.0%+15.0%+31.1%
Q4 2024+17.5%+10.3%-7.9%
Q3 2024+2.2%+1.5%-26.7%
Q2 2024-0.8%+0.3%+4.3%
Q1 2024-1.9%+17.0%-4.5%
Q4 2023+5.5%+14.5%+56.8%
Q3 2023+13.0%+7.0%+49.3%
Q2 2023+25.4%+32.2%+32.6%
Q1 2023-1.2%+3.9%+15.2%
Q4 2022-1.7%-3.4%-5.6%
Q3 2022-3.4%-13.2%-19.1%
Q2 2022+14.5%+6.1%+28.0%
Q1 2022-5.4%-1.9%+28.2%
Q4 2021-8.1%-9.0%-22.9%
Q3 2021-4.6%-6.0%-13.0%
Q2 2021-8.4%-10.0%+11.1%
Q1 2021+6.8%+13.6%+31.3%
Q4 2020-4.8%-11.4%-19.3%
Q3 2020-7.2%-9.0%-10.4%
Q2 2020-20.4%-18.0%-42.3%
Q1 2020-10.1%-18.9%-33.3%
Q4 2019+0.9%-0.9%+34.2%
Q3 2019-14.1%-25.0%-48.0%
Q2 2019-9.3%-23.6%-34.2%
Q1 2019-2.4%-23.8%-10.7%
Q4 2018-16.1%+14.3%-10.7%
Q3 2018-4.3%-1.1%-40.9%
Q2 2018-8.3%-15.0%-5.0%
Q1 2018-2.2%-3.0%-6.0%
Q4 2017+2.8%-0.6%-11.7%
Q3 2017+10.5%+37.5%-11.5%
Q2 2017-7.1%-6.2%-8.8%
Q1 2017-13.8%-21.6%-33.6%
Q4 2016+8.0%+3.3%+5.0%
Q3 2016-2.5%+7.5%-4.3%
Q2 2016+4.0%+4.0%+10.8%
Q1 2016+2.1%
Q4 2015+4.0%
Q1 2012-4.3%
Q3 2011+0.0%
Q2 2011+4.5%
Q1 2011-13.8%
Q4 2010-3.2%
Q3 2010-13.2%
Q2 2010+18.4%
Q1 2010-3.6%

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