NASDAQ$AMTX

Aemetis Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income of $30.7 million and basic EPS of $0.79.

Aemetis reported a net income of $30.7 million for Q3 2023, driven by $55.2 million in cash proceeds from the sale of Inflation Reduction Act investment tax credits related to the Aemetis Biogas assets. Revenues for the quarter were $68.7 million, reflecting contributions from the India Biodiesel segment and the restart of the Keyes ethanol plant.

  • Net income for Q3 2023 was $30.7 million, including $55.2 million from tax credit sales.
  • Basic earnings per share (EPS) was $0.79 for Q3 2023.
  • Revenues decreased 4% to $68.7 million compared to Q3 2022.
  • India Biodiesel production increased by 121% compared to Q3 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$68.7M

Previous: $71.8M-4.4%
EPS (adj)

-$0.59

Previous: -$0.46-28.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$18.6M

Previous: -$6.41M-190.0%
Free Cash Flow

$12.1M

Previous: -$73.3M+116.5%
Net Income

$30.7M

Previous: -$66.8M+145.9%
Operating Income

-$8.53M

Previous: -$7.6M-12.3%
Gross Profit

$492K

Previous: -$1.1M+144.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.9M

Previous: $251K+1453.4%
Total Assets

$277M

Previous: $199M+39.5%
R&D Expense

$36K

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.81M

Previous: $1.55M+16.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Aemetis · Revenue · Quarterly

$68.7M

Q3 2023-4.4%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Aemetis · $42.8M total across 1 segment · Q1 2021

  • California Ethanol
    $42.8M+74.8%

Forward guidance

Aemetis expects a transition to positive cash flow during the fourth quarter of this year, driven by biogas, ethanol, and biodiesel operations.

Tailwinds

  • Aemetis Biogas assets are expected to contribute to positive cash flow from operations.
  • Expanded biodiesel production capacity to 60 million gallons per year in India.
  • Received a one-year, $150 million biodiesel supply allocation from India government Oil Marketing Companies.
  • Approval of the Use Permit and CEQA for the Riverbank SAF/RD plant.
  • Restart and operation of the Keyes ethanol plant during a period of higher margins for the ethanol industry.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.2%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

32%

20 / 62 earnings

Positive

+29.3%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-37.5%

Q2 2010

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-4.0%-30.2%-30.6%
Q4 2025+25.5%+77.3%+47.4%
Q3 2025-13.2%+4.9%-26.2%
Q1 2025+7.1%+16.2%+50.0%
Q4 2024-6.1%+11.3%-9.3%
Q3 2024+15.0%+6.7%-15.0%
Q2 2024-22.4%-17.8%-23.4%
Q1 2024-3.4%-1.4%-25.1%
Q4 2023+1.2%-3.0%+57.2%
Q3 2023-1.3%+0.2%-0.7%
Q2 2023+9.5%+4.8%-28.3%
Q1 2023-13.8%-11.1%+126.7%
Q4 2022-23.6%-21.3%-42.1%
Q3 2022-0.6%-7.6%-19.3%
Q2 2022+29.2%+29.1%+6.7%
Q1 2022+9.3%+17.1%+4.3%
Q4 2021-7.2%-27.1%-18.6%
Q3 2021+3.3%-4.0%-14.9%
Q2 2021+4.0%-6.0%+40.4%
Q1 2021-27.5%-18.2%+13.8%
Q4 2020+29.3%+14.3%+62.0%
Q3 2020-36.7%-36.1%-35.5%
Q2 2020-26.6%-8.4%-36.2%
Q1 2020+6.9%+11.4%+15.0%
Q4 2019-8.1%-30.9%-15.5%
Q3 2019-2.9%-7.8%-1.9%
Q2 2019-4.1%-6.3%-17.3%
Q1 2019-14.6%-10.8%-32.3%
Q4 2018-0.3%-5.9%-7.1%
Q3 2018-4.0%-5.9%-25.6%
Q2 2018-8.1%-7.4%-10.3%
Q1 2018-0.5%-2.7%-20.7%
Q4 2017-21.5%-17.0%-11.0%
Q3 2017-3.9%-8.9%-12.6%
Q2 2017+2.6%+0.7%-21.1%
Q1 2017-8.8%-11.6%+6.1%
Q4 2016-0.8%+0.0%+0.7%
Q3 2016+11.8%+0.6%+0.2%
Q2 2016+0.0%-12.4%-30.6%
Q1 2016+6.2%
Q4 2015-5.6%
Q3 2015+2.3%
Q2 2015-1.5%
Q1 2015-8.0%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2014-14.3%
Q2 2014-14.7%
Q1 2014+23.7%
Q4 2013+10.5%
Q3 2013-20.0%
Q2 2013-7.4%
Q1 2013-6.1%
Q4 2012-6.1%
Q3 2011-5.8%
Q2 2012-12.5%
Q3 2012-12.5%
Q2 2011+12.5%
Q1 2011-7.7%
Q4 2010+7.1%
Q3 2010+1.0%
Q2 2010-37.5%
Q1 2010+0.0%

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