NASDAQ$AMBA

Ambarella Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020.

Ambarella's Q4 2020 revenue was $57.2 million, a 12% increase from Q4 2019. The GAAP net loss was $13.0 million, or $0.39 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $4.5 million, or $0.14 per share, in the same period last year. Non-GAAP net income was $4.9 million, or $0.14 per diluted share, compared to $4.5 million, or $0.14 per share, in Q4 2019.

  • Q4 revenue was $57.2 million, up 12% year-over-year.
  • GAAP gross margin was 58.2%, compared to 60.0% in the same period last year.
  • GAAP net loss was $13.0 million, or $0.39 per diluted share.
  • Non-GAAP net income was $4.9 million, or $0.14 per diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$57.2M

Previous: $51.1M+12.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.14

Previous: $0.14+0.0%
GAAP Gross Margin

58.2%

Previous: 60.0%-3.0%
Capital Expenditures

$396K

Previous: $560K-29.3%
Free Cash Flow

$3.73M

Previous: $13.4M-72.2%
Net Income

-$13M

Previous: -$4.54M-185.7%
Operating Income

-$13.8M

Previous: -$14.4M+3.7%
Gross Profit

$33.3M

Previous: $30.7M+8.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$231M

Previous: $194M+19.3%
Total Assets

$527M

Previous: $467M+12.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$16.9M

Previous: $15.9M+6.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ambarella · Revenue · Quarterly

$57.2M

Q4 2020+12%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For Q1 2021, Ambarella expects revenue between $52.0 million and $57.0 million and non-GAAP gross margin between 57.5% and 59.5%. Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be between $33.0 million and $35.0 million.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be between $52.0 million and $57.0 million
  • Gross margin on a non-GAAP basis is expected to be between 57.5% and 59.5%
  • Non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be between $33.0 million and $35.0 million
  • AI computer vision expected to reach 10% of total revenue in FY21
  • Goal is to grow total revenue for the year

Headwinds

  • New public health issues bring an unusually high degree of uncertainty to the business environment
  • Dynamic geopolitical environment bring an unusually high degree of uncertainty to the business environment
  • Risks associated with revenue being generated from new customers or design wins
  • Commercial success of our customers’ products is not assured
  • Risks associated with the COVID-19 virus and its impact on the global economy

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

48%

28 / 58 earnings

Positive

+25.1%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-31.1%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2027
Q4 2026-14.9%-20.2%-28.8%
Q3 2026-18.8%-22.0%-21.5%
Q2 2026+16.9%+12.3%+17.9%
Q1 2026-15.2%-13.6%+8.2%
Q4 2025-17.1%-27.0%-33.2%
Q3 2025+7.7%+6.3%+11.6%
Q2 2025+14.2%+16.7%+11.6%
Q1 2025+18.5%+14.2%+9.8%
Q4 2024+2.1%+0.6%-10.6%
Q3 2024+2.0%-1.1%+6.9%
Q2 2024-16.8%-12.1%-28.3%
Q1 2024-7.0%-1.5%+6.4%
Q4 2023-9.7%-10.7%-17.1%
Q3 2023+2.9%-0.2%+10.8%
Q2 2023-19.7%-25.7%-31.9%
Q1 2023-5.3%-5.8%-25.7%
Q4 2022-31.1%-37.2%-24.2%
Q3 2022+12.7%+6.4%+10.6%
Q2 2022+25.1%+30.1%+47.6%
Q1 2022-0.7%-2.0%+5.6%
Q4 2021-4.6%-4.7%-11.4%
Q3 2021+15.1%+17.2%+40.5%
Q2 2021-13.2%-9.6%-10.0%
Q1 2021-8.3%-7.1%-21.8%
Q4 2020-7.8%-15.4%-22.1%
Q3 2020-1.7%+0.0%+8.1%
Q2 2020+23.8%+29.2%+37.7%
Q1 2020+4.4%+2.2%+16.6%
Q4 2019+4.8%+1.2%+10.9%
Q3 2019+15.4%+16.0%+1.5%
Q2 2019-4.4%-4.9%-3.5%
Q1 2019-13.2%-13.9%-21.2%
Q4 2018+7.8%+7.3%+1.9%
Q3 2018+13.9%+5.7%+7.9%
Q2 2018-21.9%-24.9%-9.4%
Q1 2018-9.1%-12.2%-17.5%
Q4 2017-5.8%-7.0%-7.1%
Q3 2017-11.5%-7.0%-12.0%
Q2 2017-7.0%-4.4%+2.2%
Q1 2017+11.9%+16.7%+22.0%
Q4 2016-7.0%
Q3 2016-5.8%
Q2 2016-14.3%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015+9.5%
Q3 2015-2.7%
Q2 2015+3.3%
Q1 2015-0.2%
Q4 2014-9.2%
Q3 2014+2.9%
Q2 2014+9.6%
Q1 2013+6.0%
Q1 2014-5.3%
Q4 2011+2.2%
Q4 2012+17.7%
Q4 2013+3.1%
Q3 2012+13.8%
Q3 2013+16.3%
Q2 2013
Q2 2012
Q1 2012

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